Calculating the Odds : Gambling and Betting to Win

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causes, many circumstances, in fact, may suggest (audi do notoriously suggest) such presentiments. That some presentiments out of very many thus arising should be fulfilled is not to be regarded as surprising--on the contrary, the reverse would be very remarkable. But again a presentiment may be founded on facts, known to the person concerned, which may fully justify the presentiment. 'Sometimes,' says De Morgan on this point, 'there is no mystery to those who have the clue.' He cites instances. ' In the "Gentleman's Magazine" (vol. 80, part 2, p. 83) we read, the subject being presentiment of death, as follows :--" In 1718, to come nearer the recollection of survivors, at the taking of Pondicherry, Captain John Fletcher, Captain De Morgan"' (De Morgan's grandfather) "and Lieutenant Bosanquet each distinctly foretold his own death on the morning of his fate." I have no doubt of all three; and I knew it of my grandfather long before I read the above passage. He saw that the battery he commanded was unduly exposed--I think by the sap running through the fort when produced. He represented this to the engineer officers, and to the commander-in-chief; the engineers denied the truth of the statement, the commander believed them, my grandfather quietly observed that he must make his will, and the French fulfilled the prediction. His will bore date the day of his death; and I always thought it

, De Morgan writes somewhat inexactly here for a mathematician. The sap aid not run through the fort, but the direction of the sap so ran.


 

 

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